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PREDICTING EXTREME EVENTS ASSOCIATED WITH CLIMATE VARIABILITY/CHANGE HAVING…

Award Information

Agency:
Department of Defense
Branch:
Office of the Secretary of Defense
Award ID:
96800
Program Year/Program:
2010 / SBIR
Agency Tracking Number:
O092-HS1-2064
Solicitation Year:
N/A
Solicitation Topic Code:
OSD 09-HS1
Solicitation Number:
N/A
Small Business Information
Climate Forecast Applications Network, LLC
845 Spring St. NW #129 Atlanta, GA 30308-1043
View profile »
Woman-Owned: Yes
Minority-Owned: No
HUBZone-Owned: No
 
Phase 1
Fiscal Year: 2010
Title: PREDICTING EXTREME EVENTS ASSOCIATED WITH CLIMATE VARIABILITY/CHANGE HAVING IMPLICATIONS FOR REGIONAL STABILITY
Agency / Branch: DOD / OSD
Contract: W912HZ-10-P-0242
Award Amount: $100,000.00
 

Abstract:

The proposed research takes the first steps in addressing the challenge of providing early warnings for extreme events associated with climate variability and change to support identification of potential security threats and crises. The proposed methodologies will also support adaptive management of water, energy and agricultural practices and other adaptation strategies. We propose to lay the foundation for a web-based regional risk information and early warning system based on a probabilistic multi-model ensemble forecasting scheme. The Phase I research will establish a framework for assessing regional predictability and prediction capability of triggering weather/climate events on seasonal to decadal timescales, identify opportunities for effective prediction of climate related stability and security risks, particularly as it relates to energy, water and agriculture, and provide a conceptualized web-based user tool to turn climate based security risk identification into a prediction and advance response oriented decision support system. The resulting research will provide all the necessary inputs to turn the conceptual forecast system into a functioning, state-of-the-art climate-risk decision support system geared towards identifying and responding to climate driven security threats, which can be realized via a Phase II extension.

Principal Investigator:

Hai-Ru Chang
Senior Scientist / Mgr Forecast Ops
4043854404
hrc@eas.gatech.edu

Business Contact:

Judith A. Curry
President
4048032016
curryja@eas.gatech.edu
Small Business Information at Submission:

Climate Forecast Applications Network, LLC
845 Spring St NW #129 Atlanta, GA 30308

EIN/Tax ID: 204268798
DUNS: N/A
Number of Employees:
Woman-Owned: No
Minority-Owned: No
HUBZone-Owned: No