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STATISTICAL METHODS USING PREDICTIVE INFERENCE AND ENTROPY DEVELOPMENT

Award Information

Agency:
Department of Defense
Branch:
Air Force
Award ID:
2268
Program Year/Program:
1986 / SBIR
Agency Tracking Number:
2268
Solicitation Year:
N/A
Solicitation Topic Code:
N/A
Solicitation Number:
N/A
Small Business Information
Scientific Systems Company, Inc
500 West Cummings Park - Ste 3000 Woburn, MA 01801-
View profile »
Woman-Owned: No
Minority-Owned: Yes
HUBZone-Owned: No
 
Phase 2
Fiscal Year: 1986
Title: STATISTICAL METHODS USING PREDICTIVE INFERENCE AND ENTROPY DEVELOPMENT
Agency / Branch: DOD / USAF
Contract: N/A
Award Amount: $236,000.00
 

Abstract:

PREDICTIVE INFERENCE GIVES A NATURAL AND GENERAL TREATMENT OF MANY STATISTICAL INFERENCE PROBLEMS WHICH ARE DIFFICULT TO HANDLE OR EVEN FORMULATE USING TRADITIONAL METHODS. RECENT RESULTS SHOW THAT NEGATIVE ENTROPY IS THE NATURAL MEASURE OF MODEL APPROXIMATION ERROR WHICH FOLLOWS FROM FUNDAMENTAL PRINCIPLES OF INFERENCE. THE OBJECTIVE OF THE PROPOSED RESEARCH FOR PHASE I IS TO FURTHER EXTEND AND DEVELOP SPECIFIC PREDICTIVE INFERENCE METHODS USING THE NEGATIVE ENTROPY MEASURE IN THE AREAS OF (1) MODEL BUILDING INVOLVING DETERMINATION OF PARAMETRIC MODEL STRUCTURE AND ORDER IN THE GENERAL CASE OF MULTIPLE NONNESTED ALTERNATIVES, (2) TIME SERIES MODELING AND FORECASTING INVOLVING DETERMINATION OF PARAMETRIC MODEL STRUCTURE, AND (3) SMALL SAMPLE INFERENCE FOR MULTIVARIATE DISTRIBUTIONS OF THE EXPONENTIAL FAMILY. PHASE II WILL INVOLVE FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF PREDICTIVE INFERENCE METHODS FOR OTHER STATISTICAL INFERENCE PROBLEMS SUCH AS MISSING DATA, NONPARAMETRIC INFERENCE, EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN, ETC. PHASE III WILL INVOLVE THE DEVELOPMENT AND IMPLEMENTATION OF COMPUTATIONAL METHODS AND ALGORITHMS FOR USE IN A STATISTICAL SOFTWARE PACKAGE.

Principal Investigator:

Wallace E Larimore
6176616364

Business Contact:

Small Business Information at Submission:

Scientific Systems Inc.
1 Allwife Place Cambridge, MA 02140

EIN/Tax ID:
DUNS: N/A
Number of Employees:
Woman-Owned: No
Minority-Owned: No
HUBZone-Owned: No