Simulation of Cultural Identities for Prediction of Reactions-(SCIPR)
Agency / Branch:
DOD / USAF
A central challenge for the U.S. armed services lies not in fighting nation-state armed forces, but in dealing with more irregular forces. The glue that holds many of these forces together and motivates them to fight is a common belief system, or shared cultural identity. Hence, it is essential to grapple with cultural identities and cultural issues. This is difficult because cultural identities are neither monolithic nor static. An individual person can have multiple cultural identities because he or she belongs to a number of different groups. Cultural identities are also dynamic. To address these difficulties, we propose to create the Simulation of Cultural Identities for Prediction of Reactions (SCIPR) system. SCIPR is a set of analysis methods and a simulation modeling tool that combines a method for determining relevant cultural identities with an agent-based simulation tool to predict responses to U.S. courses of action (COAs). SCIPR draws on cultural anthropology to understand how cultural identities are defined and how they may change over time in response to events and actions, and employs agent-based modeling to simulate these dynamics and predict responses to COAs.
Small Business Information at Submission:
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