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Probabilistic Framework for CBRN Terrorism Risk Assessment and Decision Support

Award Information
Agency: Department of Homeland Security
Branch: N/A
Contract: NBCHC090041
Agency Tracking Number: 0911147
Amount: $98,955.00
Phase: Phase I
Program: SBIR
Solicitation Topic Code: N/A
Solicitation Number: N/A
Solicitation Year: N/A
Award Year: 2009
Award Start Date (Proposal Award Date): N/A
Award End Date (Contract End Date): N/A
Small Business Information
1060 East 100 South Suite 306
Salt Lake City, UT 84102
United States
HUBZone Owned: No
Woman Owned: No
Socially and Economically Disadvantaged: No
Principal Investigator
 Jerome Soller
 (801) 322-0101
Business Contact
 Jerome Soller
Phone: (801) 322-0101
Research Institution

The proposed research will develop a probabilistic decision analysis methodology and software framework applicable to Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear (CBRN) threats and incidents. The software prototype developed in the Phase I research will include tools to enable probabilistic assessments of risk, analysis of sensitivities, and risk management strategies that can compare
the impact of multiple countermeasures on outcomes. These tools will use a knowledge base that will be developed in collaboration with CBRN and public health experts. The software prototype will be demonstrated using existing scenarios and threat-related data.
By exploring all plausible combinations of inputs, the software prototype will show the potential of this methodology to assist decision-makers in their understanding of risk drivers, sensitivities, and optimal response strategies.

* Information listed above is at the time of submission. *

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