Branch Prediction and Speculative Execution (BPSE): A Data Assimilaton Scheme for Space Weather

Award Information
Agency: Department of Commerce
Branch: N/A
Contract: DG133R-05-CN-1190
Agency Tracking Number: NOAA 05-36
Amount: $75,000.00
Phase: Phase I
Program: SBIR
Solicitation Topic Code: 8.3.15
Solicitation Number: NOAA-2005-1
Timeline
Solicitation Year: 2005
Award Year: 2005
Award Start Date (Proposal Award Date): N/A
Award End Date (Contract End Date): N/A
Small Business Information
4878 Curie Court, Boulder, CO, 80301
DUNS: N/A
HUBZone Owned: Y
Woman Owned: N
Socially and Economically Disadvantaged: N
Principal Investigator
 Isidoros Doxas
 President
 (720) 771-1124
 doxas@colorado.edu
Business Contact
 Isidoros Doxas
Title: President
Phone: (720) 771-1124
Email: doxas@colorado.edu
Research Institution
N/A
Abstract
Although Space Weather is modeled after Tropospheric weather, both in its conception as a weather system and in our efforts to forecast it, no capability exists today for assimilating magnetospheric data into Space Weather simulations. The proposed project will develop the first such capability in Space Weather. Branch prediction and speculative execution consist of making probabilistic predictions about the likely evolution of the near-Earth space, and distributing among available computers a large number of simulations that assume each of the probabilistically estimated states as initial conditions. As the near-Earth space evolves and near-Earth satellite data are compared with the models, some of the speculatively executed simulations will be seen to diverge from the observations more than others. At that point the machines that were executing them will be reassigned to new lines of speculative simulation, resulting in a continuous ensemble of runs that are in the neighborhood of measured values.

* Information listed above is at the time of submission. *

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