A Framework for an Optimal and Adaptive BMDS Firing Doctrine

Award Information
Agency: Department of Defense
Branch: Missile Defense Agency
Contract: DASG6002P0081
Agency Tracking Number: 022-0519
Amount: $69,868.00
Phase: Phase I
Program: SBIR
Awards Year: 2002
Solicitation Year: N/A
Solicitation Topic Code: N/A
Solicitation Number: N/A
Small Business Information
Cardinal Systems & Analysis, Inc.
4000 Cathedral Ave, NW, Suite 121B, Washington, DC, 20016
DUNS: 048268890
HUBZone Owned: N
Woman Owned: N
Socially and Economically Disadvantaged: N
Principal Investigator
 C.Tucker Battle
 President
 (202) 257-0690
 tbattle@CardinalSA.com
Business Contact
 C. Tucker Battle
Title: President
Phone: (202) 257-0690
Email: tbattle@CardinalSA.com
Research Institution
N/A
Abstract
"The BMD program has been redirected to develop fully integrated, layered defenses capable of defending against all ranges of threats. A critical aspect of this development is an integrated firing doctrine; i.e., that part of the battle management systemthat allocates interceptors to attackers across all the layers. Optimal firing doctrine is a function of both offense and defense capabilities. Therefore, optimization is potentially an important feature of evolutionary, capabilities-based defenses. Theoverall objective of the proposed research is to develop a framework for an optimal and adaptive BMDS firing doctrine. The framework is based on an adaptive structure in which the defense starts with a set of planning assumptions and then, as the attackunfolds, real-time estimates of system parameters are used to determine the allocation to the known attackers and planning assumptions are updated to determine the reserve for possible future attackers. Implementation is by an innovative combination ofnon-linear resource allocation techniques, Bayesian analysis, and decision theory. Phase I will focus on a preliminary definition of that part of the framework associated with the coordination of firing doctrine across the boost and midcourse layers. Anoptimal and adaptive firing doctrine is required for evolving, capability based defenses. The anticipated results will set the stage for detailed development at the overall BMDS level as

* information listed above is at the time of submission.

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