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Decision Making under Uncertainty

Award Information
Agency: Department of Defense
Branch: Missile Defense Agency
Contract: HQ0147-16-C-7805
Agency Tracking Number: B2-2149
Amount: $1,002,549.00
Phase: Phase II
Program: STTR
Solicitation Topic Code: MDA13-T001
Solicitation Number: 2013.0
Timeline
Solicitation Year: 2013
Award Year: 2016
Award Start Date (Proposal Award Date): 2015-12-14
Award End Date (Contract End Date): 2017-11-17
Small Business Information
1531 Grand Avenue, Suite D, San Marcos, CA, 92078-2463
DUNS: 118594928
HUBZone Owned: N
Woman Owned: N
Socially and Economically Disadvantaged: N
Principal Investigator
 Chris Nebelecky
 Principal Investigator716-204-5233
 (716) 204-5233
 chris.nebelecky@cubrc.org
Business Contact
 C. Thomas Savell
Title: PMO
Phone: (760) 591-4227
Email: ctsavell@gcas.net
Research Institution
 CUBRC
 Michael Moskal
 4455 Genesee St., Suite 106
Buffalo, NY, 14225-1955
 (716) 205-5120
 Federally funded R&D center (FFRDC)
Abstract
Our proposed second order uncertainty (SOU) product is a decision making software solution that addresses the problem of providing accurate and precisely defined decision courses of action (COAs) of complex, time-constrained problems in a fraction of the time required by alternative methods striving to achieve the same level of precision. Complex decision situations can deal with large volume of input data at near real-time speeds. Conventional techniques for achieving precision such a Monte-Carlo/Latin Cube simulations are limited in their ability to quantify the precision of the hypothesis in a timely manner. Our SOU product is the solution that will increase the confidence in the decisions at reduced decision times. There are no other methods in existence that provide both the accuracy and speed of SOU. Approved for Public Release, 15-MDA-8303 (1 July 15)

* Information listed above is at the time of submission. *

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