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PRobabilistic Integrated Mission Effectiveness and Readiness Analysis (PRIMERA)

Award Information
Agency: Department of Defense
Branch: Navy
Contract: N68335-22-C-0551
Agency Tracking Number: N221-031-0147
Amount: $140,000.00
Phase: Phase I
Program: SBIR
Solicitation Topic Code: N221-031
Solicitation Number: 22.1
Solicitation Year: 2022
Award Year: 2022
Award Start Date (Proposal Award Date): 2022-07-21
Award End Date (Contract End Date): 2023-01-21
Small Business Information
625 Mount Auburn Street
Cambridge, MA 02138-4555
United States
DUNS: 115243701
HUBZone Owned: No
Woman Owned: No
Socially and Economically Disadvantaged: No
Principal Investigator
 David Dewhurst
 (617) 234-1535
Business Contact
 Mark Felix
Phone: (617) 491-3474
Research Institution

Using model-based systems engineering (MBSE) environments and languages such as SysML, program analysts can model the function of vessels’ subsystems and their interaction. However, standard MBSE environments and languages do not enable analysts to express uncertainty about the future state of the design process and stochastic effects of environmental variables (such as degradation due to combat). They also do not support modeling the influence of part failure and maintenance/sustainment schedules on vessel- and strike-group-level probability of successful mission. To address these concerns, Charles River Analytics is proposing a tool for PRobabilistic Integrated Mission Effectiveness and Readiness Analysis (PRIMERA). PRIMERA integrates uncertainty-enhanced SysML models with maintenance and sustainment data sources and models, enabling analysis under uncertainty about the effects of subsystem reliability and maintainability on KPPs such as detect-to-engage kill chain and probability of successful mission.

* Information listed above is at the time of submission. *

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