A Coupled System for Assessing the Threat of Solar Energetic Particle Events

Award Information
Agency: National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Branch: N/A
Contract: NNX12CE84P
Agency Tracking Number: 114898
Amount: $124,738.00
Phase: Phase I
Program: SBIR
Awards Year: 2012
Solicitation Year: 2011
Solicitation Topic Code: X11.02
Solicitation Number: N/A
Small Business Information
9990 Mesa Rim Road, Suite 170, San Diego, CA, 92121-3933
DUNS: 824866045
HUBZone Owned: N
Woman Owned: N
Socially and Economically Disadvantaged: N
Principal Investigator
 Jon Linker
 Principal Investigator
 (858) 450-6489
Business Contact
 Irene Caguinguin
Title: Business Official
Phone: (858) 450-6494
Email: irene@predsci.com
Research Institution
Solar Particle Events (SPEs) represent a major hazard for extravehicular maneuvers by astronauts in Earth orbit, and for eventual manned interplanetary space travel. We propose to develop a system to aid forecasters in the prediction of such events, and in the identification of ``all clear'' time periods when there is a low probability of such events occurring. The system combines empirical assessments with physics-based models by leveraging three recently developed technologies: a tool for forecasting solar eruptions from line-of-sight magnetograms (University of Alabama at Huntsville), physics-based models of the solar corona and inner heliosphere with embedded solar eruptions (Predictive Science, Inc., or PSI), and empirical/physics-based assessments of energetic particle fluxes using the Earth-Moon-Mars Radiation Environment Module (EMMREM, University of New Hampshire). When completed, the proposed SPE Threat Assessment Tool, or STAT, will represent a significant step forward in our ability to assess the possible impact of SPE events.

* Information listed above is at the time of submission. *

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