A Coupled System for Assessing the Threat of Solar Energetic Particle Events

Award Information
Agency:
National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Branch
n/a
Amount:
$124,738.00
Award Year:
2012
Program:
SBIR
Phase:
Phase I
Contract:
NNX12CE84P
Agency Tracking Number:
114898
Solicitation Year:
2011
Solicitation Topic Code:
X11.02
Solicitation Number:
n/a
Small Business Information
Predictive Science Incorporated
9990 Mesa Rim Road, Suite 170, San Diego, CA, 92121-3933
Hubzone Owned:
N
Socially and Economically Disadvantaged:
N
Woman Owned:
N
Duns:
824866045
Principal Investigator:
Jon Linker
Principal Investigator
(858) 450-6489
linkerj@predsci.com
Business Contact:
Irene Caguinguin
Business Official
(858) 450-6494
irene@predsci.com
Research Institution:
Stub




Abstract
Solar Particle Events (SPEs) represent a major hazard for extravehicular maneuvers by astronauts in Earth orbit, and for eventual manned interplanetary space travel. We propose to develop a system to aid forecasters in the prediction of such events, and in the identification of ``all clear'' time periods when there is a low probability of such events occurring. The system combines empirical assessments with physics-based models by leveraging three recently developed technologies: a tool for forecasting solar eruptions from line-of-sight magnetograms (University of Alabama at Huntsville), physics-based models of the solar corona and inner heliosphere with embedded solar eruptions (Predictive Science, Inc., or PSI), and empirical/physics-based assessments of energetic particle fluxes using the Earth-Moon-Mars Radiation Environment Module (EMMREM, University of New Hampshire). When completed, the proposed SPE Threat Assessment Tool, or STAT, will represent a significant step forward in our ability to assess the possible impact of SPE events.

* information listed above is at the time of submission.

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