Weather Impact Probability Forecasting (WIPCast)

Award Information
Agency:
Department of Defense
Branch
Army
Amount:
$729,507.00
Award Year:
2012
Program:
SBIR
Phase:
Phase II
Contract:
W911QX-12-C-0004
Award Id:
n/a
Agency Tracking Number:
A2-4807
Solicitation Year:
2010
Solicitation Topic Code:
A10-065
Solicitation Number:
2010.2
Small Business Information
6700 Alexander Bell Drive, Suite 200, Columbia, MD, -
Hubzone Owned:
N
Minority Owned:
N
Woman Owned:
N
Duns:
034155601
Principal Investigator:
HyamSinger
President
(443) 873-1500
hyam.singer@impact-computing.com
Business Contact:
HyamSinger
President
(443) 873-1500
hyam.singer@impact-computing.com
Research Institute:
Stub




Abstract
A fundamental shift in weather forecasting"from a deterministic approach to one that embraces communication of forecast uncertainty"is crucial to advancing the science of weather prediction. The most promising technique today for generating probabilistic forecasts is the combination of ensemble forecasting with statistical post-processing to help quantify weather-related risk. The importance of this capability to the success of U.S. military operations and weather-sensitive businesses cannot be overstated. In particular, using probabilistic forecasts to quantify anticipated weather impacts, in conjunction with techniques for quantifying a users risk tolerance, can yield a powerful decision support tool that substantially enhances the risk analysis process. Toward that end, Impact Computing has teamed with the University of Washingtons Department of Atmospheric Sciences to create an innovative Weather Impact Probability Forecast (WIPCast) solution, building upon the seminal work of Dr. Tony Eckel in the domain of probabilistic forecasting and its practical application. The ultimate objective of the proposed Phase II effort is an operational version of the WIPCast system, building upon our successful Phase I design and prototyping activities. Specific Phase II technical objectives consist of addressing Phase I open issues, addressing key requirements of the operational system, and laying the groundwork for WIPCast productization.

* information listed above is at the time of submission.

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