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Application of Global Weather and Climate Model Output to the Design and Operatio of Wind-Energy Systems

Award Information
Agency: Department of Energy
Branch: N/A
Contract: DE-FG02-12ER86505
Agency Tracking Number: 98740
Amount: $980,932.00
Phase: Phase II
Program: STTR
Solicitation Topic Code: 07b
Solicitation Number: DE-FOA-0000782
Solicitation Year: 2013
Award Year: 2013
Award Start Date (Proposal Award Date): 2013-04-09
Award End Date (Contract End Date): N/A
Small Business Information
845 Spring St. NW #129
Atlanta, GA 30308-1043
United States
DUNS: 625305268
HUBZone Owned: No
Woman Owned: Yes
Socially and Economically Disadvantaged: No
Principal Investigator
 Judith Curry
 (404) 894-5638
Business Contact
 Judith Curry
Title: Dr.
Phone: (404) 894-5638
Research Institution
 Georgia Tech
311 Ferst Drive
Atlanta, GA 30332-0340
United States

 () -
 Nonprofit College or University

This proposal addresses the challenge of providing weather and climate information to support the operation, management and planning for wind-energy systems. There is a growing need for extended range forecast information as wind power increases its penetration into the grid. Future scenarios on decadal time scales are needed to support assessment of wind farm siting, long-term purchase agreements and the regulatory environment. To address this challenge, CFAN has developed a hybrid statistical/dynamical forecasting scheme for delivering probabilistic forecasts on time scales from one day to seven months using what is arguably the best forecasting system in the world (European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, ECMWF). The project also provides a framework to assess future wind power through developing scenarios of inter-annual to decadal climate variability and change. The Phase I project conducted a pilot study for the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) region. The project included: assembly and evaluation of relevant data sets; development and evaluation of an ensemble prediction framework for forecasting regional wind power generation and demand on time scales from days to months; development of strategies to assess long term (decadal) changes to the regional wind power environment; and formulation of an online tool that provides decision makers with actionable information related to wind power forecasts and projections. The proposed Phase II project will further develop the capabilities begun during Phase II and extend the project to include the continental U.S. and offshore regions. The objective is to develop a commercially viable capability for the growing array of diversified users in the wind energy forecast market. Commercial Applications and Other Benefits: Customers and end-users of these products include wind farm operators, regional power providers, grid system operators, and energy sales and trading. The other target application is assessment of wind energy project feasibility, to select favorable sites where wind is strongest and year-to-year variability is minimized. Customers for such assessments are project owners, government planners, regulatory agencies, and investors.

* Information listed above is at the time of submission. *

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