Algorithmic Behavior Forecasting

Award Information
Agency:
Department of Defense
Branch
Office of the Secretary of Defense
Amount:
$99,612.00
Award Year:
2010
Program:
SBIR
Phase:
Phase I
Contract:
W31P4Q-10-C-0090
Award Id:
96925
Agency Tracking Number:
O092-HS3-6079
Solicitation Year:
n/a
Solicitation Topic Code:
OSD 09-HS3
Solicitation Number:
n/a
Small Business Information
10303 Sweetwood Ave, Rockville, MD, 20850
Hubzone Owned:
N
Minority Owned:
N
Woman Owned:
N
Duns:
626985399
Principal Investigator:
AlexanderLubbyansky
Principal Investigator
(517) 366-1194
alexander_lubyansky@intelligentmode.com
Business Contact:
FaridaBadalova
President
(571) 236-5150
farida_badalova@intelligentmodels.com
Research Institute:
n/a
Abstract
The success of United States'' military and Security-Stabilization-Transition-and-Reconstruction missions often hinges on the ability to understand and accurately predict the complex socio-cultural terrains of the theater of operations. The acquisition of mission-critical knowledge about the local population, conducted today by anthropological experts, is slow and prone to biases, resulting in inadequate knowledge pool, faulty recommendations, and inaccurate forecasts. To promote the rapid acquisition and effective use of the relevant socio-cultural knowledge, we propose to develop CASCADE (Computational Assessment of Socio-Cultural Action Dynamics and Events), which automates the processes of: (1) mission-critical knowledge discovery; (2) forecasting of populations' potential responses to military-relevant events; and (3) discovery of effective means to shape populations' responses and attitudes. CASCADE provides a unique computational framework for modeling socio-cultural terrains and dynamic behaviors and scenarios. It exploits the similarity of how behaviors are generated at the macro and micro levels to utilize the quantitative models of neural mechanisms to encode the higher-level individual and group behaviors.

* information listed above is at the time of submission.

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