Forecasting Dynamic Group Behavior in Social Media

Award Information
Agency: Department of Defense
Branch: Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency
Contract: D13PC00064
Agency Tracking Number: D12B-002-0015
Amount: $100,000.00
Phase: Phase I
Program: STTR
Awards Year: 2013
Solitcitation Year: 2012
Solitcitation Topic Code: ST12B-002
Solitcitation Number: 2012.B
Small Business Information
Perceptronics Solutions, Inc.
3527 Beverly Glen Blvd., Sherman Oaks, CA, -
Duns: 124668711
Hubzone Owned: N
Woman Owned: N
Socially and Economically Disadvantaged: N
Principal Investigator
 Georgiy Levchuk
 Simultion&Optimization Engineer
 (818) 788-4230
 afreedy@percsolutions.com
Business Contact
 Gershon Weltman
Title: Vice President
Phone: (818) 788-1025
Email: gweltman@percsolutions.com
Research Institution
 University of Maryland
 William Rand
 3457 Van Munching
College Park, MD, 20742-
 (301) 405-7229
 Nonprofit college or university
Abstract
This proposal is to develop a new system for Recognition of Communities and Heterogeneous Analysis of Group Interactions and Dynamics (RC-HAGID) for Social Media Forecasting. Social media enables individuals and groups to quickly coordinate, recruit and direct people to take action in support of a particular objective. This includes terrorist groups and criminal organizations. Accordingly, for full national security it is essential that our intelligence analysts be able to identify and understand the formation and dissolution of groups, interactions between and within groups, and changes in"state"of groups (i.e. from recruitment to carrying out some collaborative action). However, existing techniques for supporting this type of work are limited. In our new and innovative approach, we combine a number of sophisticated techniques that have been developed to address each of the above limitations, and combine them into one integrated system. The resulting tool will be able to monitor social media, identify distinct groups, apply a set of complimentary analyses in order to characterize group"state"and inter- and intra-group interactions based on individual level characteristics in recognition of their heterogeneous nature, forecast changes in group state, and identify the key factors involved with those changes in state.

* information listed above is at the time of submission.

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