PolARES: A Recognition-based Crisis Decision System

Award Information
Agency:
Department of Defense
Branch
Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency
Amount:
$1,943,095.00
Award Year:
2009
Program:
SBIR
Phase:
Phase II
Contract:
W31P4Q-09-C-0098
Agency Tracking Number:
07SB2-0058
Solicitation Year:
n/a
Solicitation Topic Code:
n/a
Solicitation Number:
n/a
Small Business Information
ALPHATRAC, INC.
8670 Wolff Court, Suite 120, Sheridan Park #8, Westminster, CO, 80031
Hubzone Owned:
N
Socially and Economically Disadvantaged:
N
Woman Owned:
N
Duns:
804781706
Principal Investigator:
C. Hodgin
President and CEO
(303) 428-5670
rhodgin@alphatrac.com
Business Contact:
Brian Martinez
Controller
(303) 428-5670
bmartinez@alphatrac.com
Research Institution:
n/a
Abstract
Crisis decision-making is difficult and error-prone because it involves time-urgency, physical and emotional stress, chaotic conditions, and poor data availability/quality. This SBIR project will investigate, develop, and deploy a web-based software system (called PolARES) that supports key decisions for crisis management and battlefield applications. This system will produce a revolutionary improvement in decision performance for both experienced and novice decision makers. Successful crisis decision-making employs a psychology termed recognition-primed decision-making, a method that uses limited event observations to force quick recognition of an analogous scenario from a knowledge base. The PolARES decision system will support rapid decision-making in battlefield, emergency, and disaster situations. PolARES will include an extensive relational database of decision scenarios: event/decision pairs tailored to a target decision maker and decision space. PolARES will employ an advanced artificial intelligence algorithm to lead the decision maker through a limited set of questions to a rapid choice of a stored scenario. The tool will then adapt the base scenario to actual event conditions. A feasibility prototype demonstrated PolARES' potential for chemical emergency response in Phase I of this SBIR. In Phase 2, PolARES will be applied to tactical military decision-making and other crisis decision environments.

* information listed above is at the time of submission.

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