Portraying Uncertainty in Battlefield Weather Situational Awareness

Award Information
Agency: Department of Defense
Branch: Army
Contract: W911QX04-C-0033
Agency Tracking Number: O032-2037
Amount: $100,000.00
Phase: Phase I
Program: SBIR
Awards Year: 2003
Solicitation Year: N/A
Solicitation Topic Code: N/A
Solicitation Number: N/A
Small Business Information
12 Gill Street, Suite 1400, Woburn, MA, 01801
DUNS: 967259946
HUBZone Owned: N
Woman Owned: N
Socially and Economically Disadvantaged: N
Principal Investigator
 Gavan Lintern
 Senior Scientist
 (781) 496-2428
Business Contact
 Margaret Clancy
Title: Chief Financial Officer
Phone: (781) 496-2415
Email: clancy@aptima.com
Research Institution
Military planning and logistics must account for weather effects on both a strategic and tactical level. There is, however, uncertainty associated with any forecast that confounds planning and decision-making in relation to anticipated weather effects andtheir impacts on equipment and personnel. The Aptima team proposes to develop visualizations of weather uncertainty from forecast data to present information about weather uncertainty to warfighters in a format that can support their decision processes.This decision aid will be designed to help warfighters anticipate the functional effects of weather on their operations so that they can exploit weather-related opportunities and avoid weather-related disruptions. Within this project we will employ methodsof cognitive task analysis to identify decision processes and strategies and the information used in those decision processes as warfighters deal with weather uncertainty. We will also document the informational properties available from current weatherforecasting systems, the nature and sources of uncertainty, and the nature of weather impacts on selected operational systems. We will integrate the products of these analyses into a representation of essential weather information in a manner that supportsthe typical decision processes and strategies of users. We will then develop a visualization prototype for portraying that representational concept.

* Information listed above is at the time of submission. *

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